{"id":37009,"date":"2026-05-01T08:48:24","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T06:48:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/footdavant.fr\/actualites\/opta-ne-donne-a-liverpool-que-305-de-chances-avant-le-choc-contre-man-utd\/"},"modified":"2026-05-01T08:48:26","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T06:48:26","slug":"opta-ne-donne-a-liverpool-que-305-de-chances-avant-le-choc-contre-man-utd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/footdavant.fr\/actualites\/opta-ne-donne-a-liverpool-que-305-de-chances-avant-le-choc-contre-man-utd\/","title":{"rendered":"Opta ne donne \u00e0 Liverpool que 30,5% de chances avant le choc contre Man Utd"},"content":{"rendered":"

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On a le sentiment que le choc de dimanche \u00e0 Old Trafford vise autant \u00e0 \u00e9viter la d\u00e9faite qu'\u00e0 rechercher la victoire, mais les derni\u00e8res donn\u00e9es sugg\u00e8rent que nous savons peut-\u00eatre d\u00e9j\u00e0 comment cela va probablement se d\u00e9rouler pour Liverpool.<\/p>\n\n

T\u00c9L\u00c9CHARGEZ L'APPLICATION OFFICIELLE EMPIRE OF KOP POUR TOUTES LES DERNI\u00c8RES MISES \u00c0 JOUR \u2013 DIRECTEMENT SUR VOTRE T\u00c9L\u00c9PHONE\u00a0! SUR <\/i><\/b>POMME<\/i><\/b> & <\/i><\/b>GOOGLE JOUER<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n\n

Alors que les deux \u00e9quipes s\u2019efforcent de s\u00e9curiser le football en Ligue des champions, les enjeux sont \u00e9lev\u00e9s sur le papier, mais la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 est un peu plus nuanc\u00e9e compte tenu de l\u2019\u00e9volution du classement.<\/p>\n

La pr\u00e9diction Opta donne \u00e0 Liverpool un l\u00e9ger d\u00e9savantage<\/h2>\n

Selon Opta Analyst, le match historique de ce week-end devrait \u00eatre incroyablement serr\u00e9, les chiffres pointant vers une comp\u00e9tition finement \u00e9quilibr\u00e9e plut\u00f4t que vers un vainqueur clair.<\/p>\n

L'aper\u00e7u bas\u00e9 sur les donn\u00e9es explique\u00a0:\u00a0, soulignant \u00e0 quel point les deux \u00e9quipes sont peu s\u00e9par\u00e9es \u00e0 l'approche du match.<\/p>\n

Jamie Carragher a \u00e9galement soutenu un match nul dans le match, qui constitue le match \u00e0 enjeux les moins \u00e9lev\u00e9s entre les clubs depuis de nombreuses ann\u00e9es.<\/p>\n

Cependant, lorsqu\u2019il s\u2019agit de probabilit\u00e9 absolue, l\u2019avantage est donn\u00e9 aux h\u00f4tes, le rapport indiquant\u00a0: <\/p>\n

En comparaison, nous obtenons un score qui refl\u00e8te \u00e0 la fois la forme r\u00e9cente de United et nos difficult\u00e9s contre les meilleures \u00e9quipes cette saison.<\/p>\n

Cela dit, l'histoire d'Old Trafford est encourageante, puisque Liverpool y a remport\u00e9 trois de nos cinq derniers matches de championnat \u00e0 l'ext\u00e9rieur, ce qui correspond au total des 18 visites pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes combin\u00e9es.<\/p>\n

Le r\u00e9sultat du tirage au sort semble le sc\u00e9nario le plus r\u00e9aliste<\/h2>\n

Ce qui ressort le plus de l'analyse d'Opta, ce ne sont pas seulement les probabilit\u00e9s de victoire, mais aussi la probabilit\u00e9 d'une impasse, qui est calcul\u00e9e \u00e0 26,7 %, ce qui en fait le r\u00e9sultat le plus probable de n'importe quel match de ce week-end.<\/p>\n

Cela correspond \u00e9troitement \u00e0 ce que nous avons vu sur le terrain r\u00e9cemment, car si l'\u00e9quipe d'Arne Slot a remport\u00e9 trois matches cons\u00e9cutifs, les performances n'ont pas toujours \u00e9t\u00e9 convaincantes, notamment contre les \u00e9quipes des trois premiers.<\/p>\n

Il y a aussi l'incertitude suppl\u00e9mentaire entourant Mo Salah, l'attaquant \u00e9gyptien \u00e9tant contraint de partir contre Crystal Palace, bien que le club ait depuis confirm\u00e9 qu'il devrait revenir avant la fin de la saison.<\/p>\n

S'il ne figure pas, cela lui refuserait une derni\u00e8re chance d'ajouter \u00e0 son remarquable bilan contre Manchester United, ayant d\u00e9j\u00e0 marqu\u00e9 plus de buts \u00e0 l'ext\u00e9rieur contre eux que n'importe quel joueur de l'histoire de la Premier League.<\/p>\n

Mettez tout cela ensemble, et cela ressemble \u00e0 un jeu dans lequel aucune des deux \u00e9quipes ne voudra prendre trop de risques, ce qui ne fait que renforcer l'argument selon lequel un match nul n'est pas seulement probable, mais peut-\u00eatre le r\u00e9sultat le plus logique.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

On a le sentiment que le choc de dimanche \u00e0 Old Trafford vise autant \u00e0 \u00e9viter la d\u00e9faite qu'\u00e0 rechercher la victoire, mais les derni\u00e8res<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":37010,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[491,1036,332,20,672,53,24,11911,296],"yoast_head":"\nOpta ne donne \u00e0 Liverpool que 30,5% de chances avant le choc contre Man Utd<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/footdavant.fr\/actualites\/opta-ne-donne-a-liverpool-que-305-de-chances-avant-le-choc-contre-man-utd\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Opta ne donne \u00e0 Liverpool que 30,5% de chances avant le choc contre Man 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